{"id":79204,"date":"2026-04-20T17:14:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T22:14:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.project44.com\/?post_type=market-news&#038;p=79204"},"modified":"2026-04-26T22:18:40","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T03:18:40","slug":"strait-of-hormuz-cargo-is-collapsing-back-into-the-gulf","status":"publish","type":"market-news","link":"https:\/\/www.project44.com\/zh-hans\/supply-chain-insights\/strait-of-hormuz-cargo-is-collapsing-back-into-the-gulf\/","title":{"rendered":"\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\uff1a\u8d27\u7269\u6b63\u56de\u6d41\u81f3\u6d77\u6e7e\u5730\u533a"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>\u6458\u8981 <\/em><\/p>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><em><strong>\u963f\u8054\u914b\u6e2f\u53e3\u5df2\u9971\u548c<\/strong> \u2014\u2014 58% \u7684\u6539\u9053\u8d27\u7269\u7559\u5728\u6d77\u6e7e\u5185\u90e8\uff08\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7b2c 1 \u5468\u7684 43%\uff09\uff0c\u8d27\u7269\u5728\u6770\u8d1d\u963f\u91cc\u3001\u5bcc\u67e5\u4f0a\u62c9\u548c\u8c6a\u5c14\u8d39\u574e\u4e4b\u95f4\u6765\u56de\u6d41\u8f6c\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5230\u8fbe\u7ec8\u7aef\u5e02\u573a\u3002 <\/em><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em><strong>\u505c\u7559\u65f6\u95f4\u5904\u4e8e\u5371\u673a\u6c34\u5e73<\/strong> \u2014\u2014 \u963f\u5e03\u624e\u6bd4\u4e3a 48.9 \u5929\uff0c\u6770\u8d1d\u963f\u91cc\u4e3a 46.9 \u5929\uff08\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7b2c 1 \u5468\u7684 13.5 \u5929\uff09\u3002\u8d27\u7269\u7b49\u5f85\u6e05\u5173\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8d85\u8fc7\u516d\u5468\u3002  <\/em><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><em><strong>\u7f13\u89e3\u6e20\u9053\u6b63\u5728\u5173\u95ed<\/strong> \u2014\u2014 \u5370\u5ea6\u5438\u6536\u7684\u6539\u9053\u8d27\u7269\u4efd\u989d\u5728\u4e00\u5468\u5185\u51cf\u534a\uff0815% \u2192 8%\uff09\uff1b\u79d1\u5a01\u7279\u5df2\u5f62\u6210\u5176\u5185\u90e8\u5faa\u73af <\/em><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-overview-nbsp\">\u6982\u89c8 <\/h2>\n\n<p>\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u5173\u95ed\u4e03\u5468\u540e\uff0c\u6539\u9053\u6570\u636e\u6240\u5448\u73b0\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0e\u5934\u6761\u6570\u5b57\u4e0b\u964d\u6240\u6697\u793a\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u6709\u6240\u4e0d\u540c\u3002\u7b2c 7 \u5468\u7684\u603b\u6539\u9053\u91cf\u518d\u6b21\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230 5,317 \u6b21 \u2014\u2014 \u8fd9\u662f\u4e2d\u65ad\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u5468\u5ea6\u6570\u5b57\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6539\u9053\u7684\u6784\u6210\u5df2\u53d1\u751f\u6839\u672c\u6027\u53d8\u5316\u3002   <\/p>\n\n<p>\u5728\u4e2d\u65ad\u521d\u671f\uff0c\u539f\u5b9a\u524d\u5f80\u963f\u8054\u914b\u6e2f\u53e3\u7684\u8d27\u7269\u88ab\u91cd\u65b0\u8def\u7531\u81f3\u5370\u5ea6\u3001\u65af\u91cc\u5170\u5361\u548c\u963f\u66fc \u2014\u2014 \u8fd9\u662f\u6a2a\u8de8\u5370\u5ea6\u6d0b\u7684\u771f\u5b9e\u5730\u7406\u91cd\u65b0\u5206\u914d\u3002\u800c\u5728\u7b2c 7 \u5468\uff0c58% \u7684\u6539\u9053\u6700\u7ec8\u7559\u5728\u963f\u8054\u914b\u5883\u5185\uff0c\u9ad8\u4e8e\u7b2c 1 \u5468\u7684 43%\u3002\u7f51\u7edc\u5e76\u672a\u5411\u5916\u91cd\u65b0\u5206\u914d\u8d27\u7269\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5c06\u5176\u538b\u7f29\u5728\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5c0f\u7684\u533a\u57df\u5185\u3002    <\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-weekly-diversion-totals-nbsp\">\u6bcf\u5468\u6539\u9053\u603b\u91cf <\/h2>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"936\" height=\"775\" src=\"https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-28.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-79201\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-28.png 936w, https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-28-300x248.png 300w, https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-28-768x636.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 936px) 100vw, 936px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p id=\"h-weekly-diversion-totals\">\u00a0<\/p>\n\n<p>\u7b2c 7 \u5468\u7684 5,317 \u6b21\u662f\u4e2d\u65ad\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u503c\u3002\u4e2d\u65ad\u524d\u7684\u6bcf\u5468\u57fa\u51c6\u5728 1,075 \u5230 1,581 \u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u4f4e\u70b9\uff0c\u6539\u9053\u91cf\u4ecd\u7ea6\u4e3a\u6b63\u5e38\u6c34\u5e73\u7684 3.5 \u500d\u3002\u4f46\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7\u662f\u4e0b\u6587\u8ffd\u8e2a\u7684\u6784\u6210\u8f6c\u53d8\u3002   <\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-where-diverted-cargo-is-actually-going-nbsp-nbsp\">\u6539\u9053\u8d27\u7269\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u53bb\u5411 <\/h2>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"888\" height=\"936\" src=\"https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-26.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-79199\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-26.png 888w, https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-26-285x300.png 285w, https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-26-768x810.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 888px) 100vw, 888px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>\u963f\u8054\u914b\u7684\u6570\u636e\u9700\u8981\u91cd\u70b9\u5f3a\u8c03\u3002\u5728\u7b2c 1 \u5468\u4e2d\u65ad\u5f00\u59cb\u3001carrier \u4e89\u76f8\u5728\u5370\u5ea6\u6d0b\u91cd\u65b0\u8def\u7531\u8d27\u7269\u65f6\uff0c\u4ecd\u6709 43% \u7684\u6539\u9053\u6700\u7ec8\u7559\u5728\u963f\u8054\u914b\u5883\u5185\u3002\u7ecf\u8fc7\u4e03\u5468\u6240\u8c13\u7684\u9002\u5e94\u540e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5df2\u5347\u81f3 58%\u3002\u7f51\u7edc\u5e76\u672a\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u5efa\u7acb\u66f4\u591a capacity \u2014\u2014 \u800c\u662f\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u65b9\u7684 capacity \u5df2\u7ecf\u8017\u5c3d\u3002    <\/p>\n\n<p>\u5370\u5ea6\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u540c\u6837\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u5728\u7b2c 5 \u5468\u548c\u7b2c 6 \u5468\uff0c\u5370\u5ea6\u5438\u6536\u4e86 12\u201315% \u7684\u6539\u9053\u8d27\u7269\u3002\u5230\u7b2c 7 \u5468\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6539\u9053\u603b\u6570\u4e5f\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8be5\u4efd\u989d\u4ecd\u8dcc\u81f3 8%\u3002\u90a3\u74e6\u820d\u74e6\u7684 TSP1\uff08\u4e2d\u8f6c\uff09\u505c\u7559\u65f6\u95f4\u4e3a 14.0 \u5929\uff0c\u8499\u5fb7\u62c9\u4e3a 13.6 \u5929\uff0c\u76ae\u5e15\u74e6\u6c83\u4e3a 24.6 \u5929\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6e2f\u53e3\u5728\u4e2d\u8f6c\u5c42\u7ea7\u53d1\u751f\u62e5\u5835\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u6b63\u662f\u6539\u9053\u7684\u6d77\u6e7e\u8d27\u7269\u62b5\u8fbe\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u3002     <\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-dwell-time-trends-weeks-1-7-nbsp\">\u505c\u7559\u65f6\u95f4\u8d8b\u52bf\uff1a\u7b2c 1\u20137 \u5468 <\/h2>\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-import-dwell-across-key-ports-nbsp\">\u5173\u952e\u6e2f\u53e3\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u505c\u7559\u65f6\u95f4\uff1a <\/h6>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1160\" height=\"1330\" src=\"https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/IMPORT-DWELL-3.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-79384\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/IMPORT-DWELL-3.png 1160w, https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/IMPORT-DWELL-3-262x300.png 262w, https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/IMPORT-DWELL-3-893x1024.png 893w, https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/IMPORT-DWELL-3-768x881.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1160px) 100vw, 1160px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>\u6770\u8d1d\u963f\u91cc\u5728\u4e2d\u65ad\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u5468\u90fd\u521b\u4e0b\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u65e0\u4e00\u4f8b\u5916 \u2014\u2014 \u4ece\u7b2c 1 \u5468\u7684 13.5 \u5929\u589e\u52a0\u5230\u7b2c 7 \u5468\u7684 46.9 \u5929\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e03\u5468\u5185 3.5 \u500d\u7684\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u4e14\u6ca1\u6709\u653e\u7f13\u8ff9\u8c61\u3002\u6309\u7167\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u589e\u957f\u901f\u5ea6\uff08\u6bcf\u5468\u7ea6 5\u20137 \u5929\uff09\uff0c\u6770\u8d1d\u963f\u91cc\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\u505c\u7559\u65f6\u95f4\u5c06\u5728 5 \u6708\u5e95\u8d85\u8fc7 60 \u5929\u3002   <\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-transshipment-nbsp-dwell-nbsp-across-key-ports-nbsp\">\u5173\u952e\u6e2f\u53e3\u7684\u4e2d\u8f6c\u505c\u7559\u65f6\u95f4\uff1a <\/h2>\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"838\" height=\"936\" src=\"https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-27.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-79200\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-27.png 838w, https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-27-269x300.png 269w, https:\/\/www.project44.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/image-27-768x858.png 768w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 838px) 100vw, 838px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n<p>\u76ae\u5e15\u74e6\u6c83\u7684 TSP1 \u505c\u7559\u65f6\u95f4\u5728\u7b2c 5 \u5468\u8fbe\u5230 36.7 \u5929\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\u964d\u81f3 24.6 \u5929 \u2014\u2014 \u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u7684\u6539\u5584\u3002\u79d1\u4f26\u5761\u7684 TSP1 \u505c\u7559\u65f6\u95f4\u81ea\u7b2c 5 \u5468\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a 9.1 \u5929\uff0c\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e2d\u65ad\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6570\u636e\u70b9\u53ef\u4ee5\u89e3\u8bfb\u4e3a\u79ef\u6781\u4fe1\u53f7\uff1a\u67d0\u4e9b\u4e2d\u7ee7\u8282\u70b9\u6b63\u5728\u5f97\u5230\u7f13\u89e3\u3002   <\/p>\n\n<p>\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u7f13\u89e3\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u76ae\u5e15\u74e6\u6c83\u548c\u79d1\u4f26\u5761\u5728\u7b2c 7 \u5468\u63a5\u6536\u7684<strong>\u8d27\u7269\u66f4\u5c11<\/strong> \u2014\u2014 \u8fd9\u5e76\u975e\u56e0\u4e3a\u62e5\u5835\u5df2\u6e05\u9664\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5370\u5ea6\u5438\u6536\u7684\u6539\u9053\u8d27\u7269\u4efd\u989d\u4ece 15% \u964d\u81f3 8%\uff0c\u65af\u91cc\u5170\u5361\u7684\u4efd\u989d\u964d\u81f3 1% \u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002\u4e0b\u6e38\u8282\u70b9\u7684\u505c\u7559\u65f6\u95f4\u6539\u5584\u662f\u8d27\u7269\u56de\u6d41\u81f3\u963f\u8054\u914b\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u7f51\u7edc\u6062\u590d\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u3002   <\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-a-nbsp-signal-worth-watching-nbsp\">\u503c\u5f97\u5173\u6ce8\u7684\u4fe1\u53f7 <\/h2>\n\n<p>\u6539\u9053\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\u53ef\u80fd\u90e8\u5206\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u8be5\u6570\u636e\u96c6\u65e0\u6cd5\u76f4\u63a5\u8861\u91cf\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff1ashipper \u4ece\u6e90\u5934\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb\u56f4\u7ed5\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\u8fdb\u884c\u89c4\u5212\uff0c\u800c\u975e\u5728\u4e8b\u540e\u6539\u9053\u3002\u5728\u7b2c 3 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